منابع مشابه
Government Debt and Risk Premia
I document that government debt is related to risk premia in various asset markets: (i) the debt-to-GDP ratio positively predicts excess stock returns with out-of-sample R2 up to 30% at a five-year horizon, outperforming many popular predictors; (ii) the debt-to-GDP ratio is positively correlated with credit risk premia in both corporate bond excess returns and yield spreads; (iii) higher debt-...
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Governments use national debt and the budget deficit as measures of fiscal position. But what should government policy aim to achieve with respect to these measures? Are these the right summary measures at which to be looking? This paper considers what the government should use as its fiscal targets to achieve policies that are consistent with long-term fiscal objectives. Among its findings are...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Social Science Research Network
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1556-5068']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3796649